Prof. Adam Kleczkowski
- 2017: As part of FOREMOD, we organised an international workshop in Edinburgh (September 2017)
- 2016: A consortium led be FERA with Universities of York, Salford and Stirling won a Defra grant to produce a decision support tool for Defra and Forestry Commission. As part of the project we organised a number of co-design sessions with government agencies.
- 2016: We organised a session at BIOECON
- 2016: Ben Bumpus obtained a BSPP summer student bursary to work with me and Prof. Gerry Saddler from SASA on modelling potato diseases like blackleg.
- 2015: I have been promoted to a Chair in Mathematics, University of Stirling.
My particular interests are in the area of mathematical modelling and statistical analysis of systems at the interface of epidemiology, socio-economics and policy:
- Main current areas of application:
- Spread and control of tree, plant and animal diseases, including trade;
- Dynamics of potato diseases and their economic impact;
- Plant disease decision support systems (commissioned by Defra/FC);
- Delivery of ecosystem services, including pollination and impact of neonicotinoids on bee population;
- Prediction of outbreaks, social impact and human behaviour during influenza epidemics;
- Impact of intensification on food security in shrimp and fish production;
- Control of Norovirus dynamics in shellfish.
- Main modelling approaches:
- Stochastic, spatially extended, network- and agent-based models;
- Bioeconomic models, including stochastic game theory;
- Design and use of computer games in epidemiology and health protection;
- Parameter estimation for epidemiological data (classical and Bayesian).
Grants and projects:
2016-2021 Disease management options: Insights from comparing forestry and agriculture (Scottish Government Strategic Research Programme, £300k; PI of the HEI component);
2017-2019 The epidemiology of novel PdR1 resistant grapevines: epidemic and vector movement models to support integrated disease management (USDA, led by Univ. of California at Berkeley, cooperator);
2017-2018 AgriFood at York project on Biosecurity and food security: The role of Private-Public Partnerships and Assurance Schemes (£14k, CoI);
2016-2017 Defra ITT FEE/0365 Developing a Plant Health Outbreak Decision Support Framework (£120k, CoI);
2014-2017 Modelling economic impact and strategies to increase resilience against tree disease outbreaks (BBSRC, £1.1m, PI);
2014-2017 Risks of Animal and Plant Infectious Diseases Through Trade (NSF-BBSRC, USD1.5m USA component, £600k UK component, Co-I).
2016 BSPP summer student project, collaboration with Scientific Advice for Scottish Agriculture, £2500;
2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 NERC Graduate Course in Modelling for Environmental Science (£30k, CoI);
2014-2015 Gamification: scoping the use of games to engage and learn (DEFRA; £4k, CoI);
2013-2017 CASE studentship (CEFAS/University of Stirling) on An epidemiological and economic framework for designing and evaluating control strategies for water- and food-borne pathogens: A Norovirus case study. (£50k, PI)
2011 Department for International Development grant on Characterising livestock system "zoonoses hotspots" (£19k; PI)
2010 Medical Research Council Catalyst grant, EPISYSTEM: Designing biological, social and economic environments to enhance resistance to zoonotic outbreaks (£50k, PI) (selected for the second stage; ultimately unsuccessful)
2010 European Investment Bank grant, Designing Markets for Ecosystem Services Delivery (€300k, Co-I)
2009 IMA and BSPP travel grants (total £800)
2008 Leverhulme Trust, Integrative Ecology (CoI, selected for the second stage as the only application from Scotland; ultimately unsuccessful).
2003 NERC Soil Biodiversity Programme, travel (overseas) grant;
2003 STOCHDYN - Stochastic Dynamics: fundamentals and applications, ESF project, as a part of the European consortium.
2002 British Council/KBN British-Polish Young Scientist Research Collaboration Programme, travel grant for a PhD student, jointly with Jagiellonian University, Poland, Plant and animal disease on lattices and networks – dissemination and prevention;
1999 British Council/KBN British-Polish Joint Research Collaboration Programme, travel grant jointly with Jagiellonian University, Poland, Spatial and temporal heterogeneities in nonlinear models of biological systems;
1997 BBSRC/EPSRC 3-year grant Scaling up from individual to population behaviour in stochastic, spatially-extended systems as a second principal investigator;
1997 BBSRC 3 years PhD studentship Analysis and prediction of nonlinear dynamics in biological control of plant pathogens, as a second supervisor and a joint applicant; PhD awarded in 2001;
1990 Polish Ministry for Higher Education prize for scientific research;
1987, 1988 Jagiellonian University internal prize for scientific research;
1984 MSc with distinction;
1979-1983 (every year) Jagiellonian University prize for an outstanding student
Applications pending (October 2017):
2018-2020 Centre of Expertise in Plant Health (Scottish Government, £750k yearly over 5+ years, Co-I);
2019-2025 The Leverhulme Trust, Doctoral Training Centre (Co-I).
2018-2021 Modelling Middle-East Respiratory Syndrome outbreaks in Saudi Arabia (PhD studentship, Saudi Arabia government, application pending);
Courses currently taught:
Courses currently taught:
- Spring 2017:
- Stochastic processes (year 3/4), MATU9MD;
- Research Portfolio (year 4), MATU9RP.
- Autumn 2017:
- Mathematics for Business (year 1, Business students), FINU9M1;
- Mathematics for Big Data MSc, ITNPBD1
- Research Portfolio (year 4), MATU9RP.
Most recent PhDs:
- An epidemiological and economic framework for designing and evaluating control strategies for water- and food-borne pathogens:
A Norovirus case study (Paul MacMenemy, finished 2016)
- Parameter estimation for epidemics (Vincent Marmara, finished 2016)
- Spread and control of diseases on networks (Katarzyna Oles; finished 2015)
Selected recent publications
Kleczkowski A, Ellis C, Hanley N, Goulson D. 2017. Pesticides and Bees: ecological-economic modelling of bee populations on farmland. Ecological Modelling, 360, 53–62.
- Macpherson M.F., Kleczkowski A., Healey J., Quine C. and Hanley N. 2017. The effects of invasive pests and diseases on strategies for forest diversification. Ecological Modelling, 350, 87-99
- Macpherson M.F., Kleczkowski A., Healey J. and Hanley N. 2017. Payment for multiple forest benefits alters the effect of tree disease on optimal forest rotation length. Ecological Economics, 134 82-94
- Macpherson M.F., Kleczkowski A., Healey J. and Hanley N. 2016. The Effects of Disease on Optimal Forest Rotation: A Generalisable Analytical Framework. Environmental and Resource Economics DOI: 10.1007/s10640-016-0077-4
Bate A, Jones G, Kleczkowski A, MacLeod A, Naylor R, Timmis J, Touza J, White P. 2016. Modelling the Impact and Control of an Infectious Disease in a Plant Nursery with Infected Plant Material Inputs. Ecological Modelling, 334:27-43.
Kleczkowski A, Maharaj S, Rasmussen S, Williams L and Cairns N. 2015. Spontaneous social distancing in response
to a simulated epidemic: a virtual experiment. BMC Public Health, 15:973.
Marmara V, Cook A and Kleczkowski A. 2014. Estimation of force of infection based on different epidemiological proxies: 2009/2010 Influenza epidemic in Malta. Epidemics 9:52-61.
Last updated by AK, 3 October 2017